Another by election is now over. BN has again lost despite its massive by election machinery.
The trend of the last general election has not changed. If this trend continues, there would be a likely change of federal government for the first time in Malaysian history. But either way, the results would be close, and I do not foresee any side getting more than 2/3 of the seats . So a 2 party system would be taking shape, notwithstanding the uncertainties within PKR and PAS.
UMNO and MCA would still win some seats, and BN would still win the majority seats in East Malaysia. BUt for smaller parties like Gerakan , PPP and MIC, where most of their traditional seats are in mixed constituencies, their hope of getting seats will be very slim.
It is not wrong to say that the future of these parties are not in their hands but rather in the hands of the dominant partner. If the latter changes for good, then their chances of survival are higher. On the contrary , as I have often repeated, if changes are just cosmetics or slow in coming, then these parties will face annihilation comes the next round.
So far, there is nothing to cheer for , especially with the death of TBH and the so many unanswered questions. If this death is not properly investigated, then chances are this one person is going to bring the downfall of many parties.