A master move

The just concluded MCA EGM was a lesson in the Art of Politics.

The results were probably  unexpected to most of us common folks, but not to the strategist/s behind the so-called ‘third force’.

When 2 factions were almost equally matched, as  all indications showed, a strategically planned and galvanised small third force could do wonders, and that was what happened.

Most of us thought that given the equally matched opposing  factions, no one would have been able to galvanise a third force to throw the 2 respective leaders of the warring factions out.

But this was what actually happened. Someone behind the scene galvanised a small force of 30-50 delegates. By voting  as a bloc , and voting one way for the first resolution, another way for the second resolution and yet another way for the third resolution, this small group of 30 to 50 members succeeded in bringing down 2 big elephants.

Whoever behind this is(are)  master strategist(s).

This is the results best suited to the big brother. Is the Big Brother behind this/these master strategist/s?  We will probably never know.

MCA is an important link in BN. If either Ong or Chua won , the party would be split. A badly split MCA would not be able to win back the lost Chinese votes.

On the contrary, given the history of leg pulling in the past, a split MCA could lose whatever little support it still has  among the Chinese voters. At the moment, 80% of the Chinese votes are with the other side, but with the party badly split, it would lose a big portion of the remaining 20%  too.

So it is to the advantage of the Big Brother to have a totally new leader, hoping that this new leader can help to patch up the 2 factions.

A more united party might be able to win back a certain percentage of support of the Chinese, so the thinking goes.   It would have appeared so ,   but in truth, this might not happen, given the sentiments prevailing among the Chinese community.  But if I am the big brother, i would certainly follow this line of thinking.

Coming back to the EGM results, I think it would be honourable for the whole CC to resign, since the suspension of Chua was a collective CC decision.  I think it will be  proper ethically to call for a fresh election.

Ong was quoted by the Chinese press as saying that ” The Sun rises and the Sun sets” Using the analogy, he told reporters that when he assumed the top position, he already knew  that one day, he has to come down. I think that should be the way of any leader. A leader must know when it is time for him to go up, and when it is time for him to come down.

Unfortunately, a leader with a scandalous past did not see it that way, and by not knowing when to give up, indirectly precipitated his own expulsion suspension, and bring the party to such a stage.

With this disarray in MCA and the growing irrelevance of MIC, and the sentiments expressed in UMNO’s Janda Baik brainstoriming,  I see that a lot of uncertainty has been injected into political scene, and who knows, a realignment of forces may happen sooner than most of us would think possible.

This post is also available in MalaysianInsider here. and the Malaysian Bar  here .

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25 Comments (+add yours?)

  1. klm
    Oct 11, 2009 @ 16:15:07

    I dont believe it is big bro. It dont have the brain to think of this. Beside its mentality is the bulldozer type. It is not in the make up of big bro.

    Like

  2. agerakan member
    Oct 11, 2009 @ 16:39:47

    Dr Hsu,
    it is interesting to read the last comment by Jason in your article before this.
    THe writter question whether members of Gerakan would be smart enough to kick of Koh tsu koon and the Lim Keng Yaik dynasty which destroyed gerakan in the past few years.

    So, i guess, we as gerakan member, must not so clever to talk bad about MIC and samy velu.
    Just look back at gerakan……how koh tsu koon and lim keng yaik dynasty is still hanging in gerakan…..when all of them had been rejected by the rakyat.

    Like

  3. Dr Hsu
    Oct 11, 2009 @ 16:50:24

    Gerakan’s only hope is to be out on its own.. I have said this many times, and I will say it again.

    Time is running out, and the nearer to the next election, the narrower will be the options faced by the party.

    I should amend the last paragraph to ‘ the growing irrelevance of MIC and Gerakan”, indeed , the party is directionless and listless.

    If indeed you are a Gerakan member , you should voice it out.. I have voiced out and is still voicing out in meetings and internal emails and blog articles and comments… But as a lone voice, it will not be taken seriously..

    BUt if indeed UMNO is turning to be more Malays centric as advocated by some leaders in their brainstorming, there is a high chance that it might form an alliance with the extreme faction of PAS, and if that happens, component parties like Gerkana nd MIC and MCA wiould have one way to move.. out.. Politics will go to be very extreme… But moderate faction of PAS will take over the middle ground … Pls read Tengku Razaleigh on this: http://www2.themalaysianinsider.com/index.php/opinion/tengku-razaleigh-hamzah/40044-a-taste-of-whats-to-come-

    That is a possible re alignment of forces…

    To dismantle any ‘dynasty’ or kick out any one from leadership will depend on the whole grassroots.

    Like

  4. Atila
    Oct 11, 2009 @ 18:12:18

    umno…
    still the same from prior to GE2008 then til now,
    still the same faces for all Bahagian in Penang.

    Sigh!!

    Like

  5. mccann105
    Oct 11, 2009 @ 18:43:09

    chua soi leg will go down in history remembered for what ambition personal agenda that disssolved mca…people get to self important too addictive.. as for gerakan even it a smaller party, it still diseased with a president who look innocent studious..deep within a hidden self inflicted ego..thats what i think

    Like

  6. Atila
    Oct 11, 2009 @ 19:32:53

    ktk…..gave empty promises to a bunch for Malays HRM back in 1990s, his agenda to materialised rsnpp2020 is distorted by pr winning ge2008, he nothing good for malays and indians in penang. thats why a shift in malay votes to even vote DAP, not Gerakan.
    he would be better out of penang ,in a malay area who dont know his “fangs”.

    Like

  7. Chauncey Gardener
    Oct 11, 2009 @ 20:18:32

    The fragmentation of its coalition partners plays well into UMNO’s hands as the “survivors” will now be beholden to Big Brother even more than before.

    I don’t think this will sit well with the members of these coalition parties who have already given up the ghost on their political party.

    Like

  8. klm
    Oct 11, 2009 @ 20:20:33

    After this debacle, MCA has no choice but to make changes that are long overdue.

    I hope this MCA debacle will wake up Gerakan’s CC.
    I have said it before and will say again. Gerakan CC must take control of the party. It is time to get rid of KTK and the Advisor.

    Like

  9. Atila
    Oct 11, 2009 @ 20:58:36

    How effective to get rid to ktk and the Advisor?

    Like

  10. disgusted
    Oct 11, 2009 @ 21:19:01

    Cilipadi,

    Haaa, haaaa, haaa justice is done.

    Like

  11. disgusted
    Oct 11, 2009 @ 21:31:58

    Dr,

    As a matter of fact, on the 18th afternoon in October 18 last year at the party elections when he stood for the presidency, while the votes were counted he already knew that if he had won he would NOT last one year. How? Why?

    Well, he said a feng shui master personally told him. Why? Because of his character and he had been advised on his weaknesses. Here we have a person who had been forewarned and few seldom have this privilege to be forewarned.

    Yet, he made mistakes after mistakes and getting arrogant with swell-headed. So true. Give power to a man and you will know his true character.

    He played to the tilt to protect his own arse and power, allowing dirty campaigning and grooming a bunch of unethical 4th floor boys to character assassinate whoever who writes or speaks against their boss.

    PM wants him out now. Not only the 1,155 who decided to kick his arse out because he is not fit to lead a party.

    In short, karma is great.

    Like

  12. A true Malaysian
    Oct 11, 2009 @ 21:52:29

    Malaysian electorates are far more complex than we perceived. Malpractices, corruptions, abuse of powers and so on maybe our concern but not to the others.

    We can see this from the just concluded Bagan Pinang by-election. The electorates there are aware of the malpractices, corruptions, abuse of powers and so on of current government under Umno, yet, they still vote for Umno candidates. We cannot perceive that the electorates there are not concerned about these issues, but bread and butter issues take precedence over bigger issues that we concerned. Vast differences in education level may not be the reason for this, as a more educated person may be in favour of such malpractices and so on. I would think, vast difference in disposable income is the one which makes the difference here. RM200 maybe a small sum to some, but it is a big money to people in Bangan Pinang, especially the Indians.

    So, in any battle, big or small, strategy is very important before one goes into battle field. This is what Pakatan Rakyat overlooked in Bagan Pinang by-election. You don’t expect to have level playing field. With the advantage of high postal votes, Umno is sure to win, but still, to defeat Umno is not impossible if strategy is right. Just take it as a lesson, PR.

    Like

  13. disgusted
    Oct 11, 2009 @ 23:05:26

    UMNO did not win. Isa won and of course, corruption.

    Like

  14. daffodils
    Oct 11, 2009 @ 23:57:19

    This is disgusting. It demeans the victory won. This is just like what Art Harun has written in an article about the assimilation of values taught by religion.

    Spiritual values has no bearing on how people vote. All these sound hollow. Praying and attending sermons and yet in the same breath condoning the act of a tainted personality. Corruption is uncleanliness to all religion.

    What’s wrong with the mindset of those voters? Could they be so easily “duped”? Does it not matter that someone with honour or a clean character be given the mandate?

    Like

  15. steven
    Oct 12, 2009 @ 00:00:02

    dr hsu,
    100% agree with your views above that gerakan really need to change a.s.a.p before next GE.
    Most people already feel gerakan is irrelavant to malaysian politics.
    How can an ex-penang CM who is rejected by the people can continue to become the President of Gerakan? Most top leaders in gerakan are all people who the people have rejected. But why are they still leading gerakan? The biggest joke is even lim keng yaik son is given the youth chief post. Just imagine is Samy Vellu son is the MIC youth chief???? What difference is there between MIC and Gerakan? To me, there is none cause both are rejects by Malaysian.

    Like

  16. Atila
    Oct 12, 2009 @ 01:45:59

    We must respect rakyat’s choice and never say rakyat stupid for making Isa won.

    UMNO won. Isa won.

    My UMNO friends now with “returned of their fangs”.

    Sigh!!

    Like

  17. Atila
    Oct 12, 2009 @ 01:47:38

    Dr. Hsu, how far is this true that all densely Indian populated in Bgn Pinang, BN won all?
    TQ.

    Like

  18. A true Malaysian
    Oct 12, 2009 @ 11:08:36

    “That is a possible re alignment of forces…”

    If that happens, there will good and bad effects depending on the ultimate re-aligned forces.

    If the ultra group is smaller, then it is good, if bigger, then we would see political games all the time.

    Hope to see a more balanced 2-party system, ultimately.

    Like

  19. klm
    Oct 12, 2009 @ 11:19:33

    Dr. Hsu.

    I think there is another view of the “Master Move”.
    It is more sinister.

    Information from people inside the play seemed to suggest that Tiong was behind this “Master Move”, with lots of money paid out. But he miscalculated.

    I would described this EGM as a doped horse race. Hugh sum of money was spent in paying the delegates, with the money coming from Tiong. The delegates took the money but did not went all the way. That the idea of CSL becoming President was too disgusting to overcome the money. That was a miscalculation on Tiong’s part.

    He almost got what he wanted, except CSL was not restored as Deputy President. Hence, he is checked. Hence, MCA is in deep kimchi (pickled cabbage). The result of the EGM was unexpected. I dont think the outcome was welcomed. Money did strange things, but not enough to move bury all the conscience
    .
    I dont think Ong Tee Keat is out yet. MCA CC may yet pull a rabbit from the hat.

    Like

  20. A true Malaysian
    Oct 12, 2009 @ 11:22:57

    Maybe we could name the two groups as “Ketuanan Melayu” and “Ketuanan Rakyat”.

    I would rather hope to see two “Ketuanan Rakyat” groupings. This is what I mentioned, more balanced 2-party system which we see in developed countries like USA, UK, Japan…..

    Both sides should go for solid works, not politiking.

    Like

  21. Atila
    Oct 12, 2009 @ 12:06:32

    What did we all learn from Bagan Pinang By-Election?

    Like

  22. Atila
    Oct 12, 2009 @ 12:23:59

    Dr. Hsu

    Some of my female friends are talking of taking cervical cancer vaccines. I dont know how effective the vaccine for females at 30s & 40s.

    I need you advise please.

    I have Chronic Urticaria (CU) since childhood about age 4 until today i m 42.

    I have intolerance to gluten and casein & eggs.
    Have been on Zrytec since 1996.

    Will taking cervical cancer vaccine worsens
    my CU?

    Pls. Help.

    Like

  23. Dr Hsu
    Oct 12, 2009 @ 15:33:10

    Atila,
    Cervical cancer vaccines have been given to more than 18 millions, and so far, most do not have serious side effects. There were a few reported cases of severe reactions to the vaccines, but that was to be expected in any vaccines , given the individual variations in response to mediciens , drugs and vaccinations.

    The vaccines mainly prevent infection against human genital warts viruses, which cause genital warts and which can cause cervical cancers.

    As cervical cancer is the second most frequent cancers of the fairer sex.. prevention is always better than cure.

    As for those with an allergy history like allergy to eggs, no one can predict whether ou will get an allergic reaction after the vaccination. So for this group, do be very careful if you want to get the vaccines…

    Go to this australian site http://au.todaytonight.yahoo.com/article/43654/health/gardasil-effects-controversy

    Like

  24. Atila
    Oct 12, 2009 @ 21:23:31

    Dr. Hsu,

    Thank you so much. I will be very careful.
    Today, I learnt that H1N1 vaccine is egg based.

    Like

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