Will there be light at the end of the tunnel?

I asked myself this question yesterday: what will UMNO do in view of the results of Hulu Selangor?

It may try to win more Chinese votes by having more PR exercises to give grant to Chinese schools or temples. On the other hand, it will definitely want to bank on more Malay voters to come back to them by having some of the top leaders taking hardline racist stance, by continuing clinging onto the crutch based policies.

To the Indian voters, more rhetoric will be sounded and PR exercises like visiting the Indian temples and Indian areas and so on will continue, and at the same time, trying to split the Indian political representations by splitting Hindraf and encouraging more Indian parties to be formed.

I think UMNO leaders will from now on concentrate even more on trying to win back Malay votes, and satellite organisation like Perkasa will be more vocal and this does not augur well for the country.

Instead of getting the races together and implement affirmative policies based on class, , Malaysia will be continuing to tread a very dangerous route of race and religion, more so than the old days.

I hope the rightists within that party would think rationally and realise that if they choose to go even more racist, the consequences will be bad for the country. In a multiracial country, they must realise that they cannot afford to marginalise any groups. But of course these rightists may not see things this way since  they adopt their rightist hardline stand based not so much on their belief but  rather on their self interest

It is sad that after 51 years, instead of doing away with race politics, we are sinking deeper and deeper, and there is no end to the tunnel yet. Whatever light that was there at the end of the tunnel   may just turn out to be an illusion.

Another consequence will be gerrymandering. The ruling party  will try to get more people to leave PR and once they have more than 2/3 in Parliament, a new delineation based on voting pattern favourable to them will be passed.

It is therefore interesting to see how Malaysians in Sibu will vote in the coming by election.

13 Comments (+add yours?)

  1. klm
    Apr 27, 2010 @ 11:06:56

    It will probably mean that 1Malaysia will be consigned to the rubbish bin. Let us see how many time this word will be used in the coming weeks. If it is in use less often then we know the new play script.

    Like

  2. CYC
    Apr 27, 2010 @ 11:53:22

    In any political game, the winner ought to develop or invent his unfair advantage. It is similar to business conglomerate build up their monopoly in selected sector by using financial might, influencing legislation, technological innovation or simply speed up the transaction process. Of course u may argue that this will definitely favour the incumbent who have access to money and govt machinery. But don’t forget that we are in the era of internet and unfair advantage is invisible rather than something physically measurable. I am not saying that technological advantage per se win the war, but knowledge will. It is up to the underdog to digest and understand the electorate in real terms and claim their rightful unfair advantage.

    It is silly to think of long term objective when u have not even able to take control to form the federal government. So, focus on short term target – win all the by election that comes by. Winning constantly will create an impression that u did the right thing-that is how human being perceive or rationalise issue. How could a person keep winning if he did not do it right ? All along voters are concern about 3 things which can be categorized as (1) national issues,(2) local issues, and (3) their livelihood or economic issues. Malaysians have no interest in foreign relation and national security as we are hardly disturb by them or simply no clue of how these affect us. So, just concentrate and rebalance the 3 issues into something to your advantage. How ? Use oratory skill, use analytical skill, use psychological war fare skill. Even American politicians use all these to win their election. so, it is the same all over the world. Tony Pua’s statistical briefing will only win a small fraction of votes which more or less already decided to vote PR anyway even without the briefing.

    BN is fighting for their survival. therefore, they have no choice but to take risky approach trying to win over voters by deploying divide and rule method and hopefully to gain more votes than losing fewer in the process. It is a mathematics game.

    Like

  3. Ken
    Apr 27, 2010 @ 12:19:12

    With Perkasa seen as part of the success in increasing Malay votes in HS, this rightist group will get more vocal. BN will try to play both sides with 1Malaysia for the non-Malays and Perkasa for the Malays. It’s like having your cake and eat it.

    Will Malaysians esp. the non-Malays be intelligent enough to reject this two-headed approach? One thing I can safely say, migration will increase.

    On another matter, Dr. Hsu, moderation of comments take a long time to appear which stifle debate. Understandably your time to manage is limited. Why not allow regular posters who are known to be polite to be unmoderated? They can be identified by their nick and e-mail. As e-mail is not visible their ID cannot be misrepresented. Some blogs like rights2write are using this system successfully.

    Like

  4. Chauncey Gardener
    Apr 27, 2010 @ 12:38:39

    Let us wait for the “tearful” day when Samy Vellu announces his retirement as head of MIC. The Indian community will certainly celebrate it and perhaps that might make the MIC more relevant once again.

    MCA & Gerakan are already on the slippery slope and if UMNO wants to go it alone from the BN, I would welcome that.

    Give the electorate a choice – a Malaysia where everyone has a stake or one where an elite segment makes the rules.

    Like

  5. Lai Kee Kong
    Apr 27, 2010 @ 16:53:42

    Although we may not like chauvinist groups like Perkasa who only thinks of their own interest, we must tolerate and accomodate them. It is this free speech that allows Hindraf and the chinese educationist groups to flourish. In the end, democracy will be better served with free speech rather than without.

    Like

  6. CYC
    Apr 27, 2010 @ 17:29:15

    Malaysia is at the cross road. Where will it heading to? You guess is good as mine. One thing for certain, the gap between the have and have not will further widen just as what happened across the globe. Despite England’s weak economy, the richest wealth actually increase by 30%. Strange ? No, its expected. Just like 1 x2 =2. But how silly are those ignorant soul, they are still preoccupied with who will be the candidate for Sibu by election, will Samy going to step down soon, is KTK a born again backdoor guy… etc. Watch your rice bowl and beware of the thief clad with Armani suits that will rob you with his highly protected invisible hands.

    Dr, the more comments I write on your blog the more I think you should really detach yourself from politics and engage in social works instead. Please don’t get me wrong. I am not doubting your political acumen but rather of the opinion that u r more suitable as a social worker/reformer. In simply implies that u have more unfair advantage being a social reformer than being a politician. Unfair advantage will generate exponential effect rather than linear effect.Think about it, Dr.

    Like

  7. Dr Hsu
    Apr 27, 2010 @ 22:22:17

    ken
    thanks for the suggestions. Will do.

    Like

  8. tw tan
    Apr 27, 2010 @ 22:43:31

    I feel, Malaysians should give Najib the chance to change. From the way we look at it, he is sincere in doing things the right way. Now is the support of the people because the PM can’t do it alone. its only one year in office, he needs the time and support from us, Malaysians are wise enough to see whether its geniune or not.

    Like

  9. pilocarpine
    Apr 28, 2010 @ 13:20:43

    the light at the end of the tunnel maybe an incoming train.^_^

    Like

  10. Ken
    Apr 28, 2010 @ 14:58:41

    Thanks Dr. Hsu, I hope my suggestion has some merit.

    On the matter of racial politics, I think it’s getting better compared to pre-2008.

    In those days, BN kept its political hegemony by instigating voting along racial and religious lines. The Malays threatened with losing their special rights if they do not support Umno, the Chinese are threatened with another May 13 and both Chinese and Indians are threatened with Islamization by PAS.

    With a fragmented opposition only BN can claim to be multi-racial and so mixed seats were considered safe seats. Recognizing this the EC created many mixed seats. They were safe as long as Malays do not vote for a DAP or non-Malays for a PAS candidate. PKR had yet to arise.

    The 2008 G.E. has turned this on its head with voting across racial and religious lines. The rise of PKR as a true multi-racial party has also dealt another blow to mixed seats.

    With the easing of racial and religious fears, BN needed another strategy. Hence 1Malaysia was created to woo back non-Malays.

    But Umno is always haunted by the fear of loss of Malay votes if it treats non-Malays better. Hence Perkasa is used as a counterbalance to 1Malaysia retain the Malays.

    1Malaysia and Perkasa are contradictions but Umno is trying to have its cake and eat it too.

    The HS by-election shows that mixed seats are still a hard fight for BN because voters are no longer voting along racial and religious lines and 1Malaysia has limited impact.

    So its getting better not worse. If you have time please have a look at my article where I’ve gone into more detail. http://malaysia-today.net/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=31458:pakatan-is-on-track-to-putrajaya&catid=17:guest-columnists&Itemid=100130

    Like

  11. romerz
    Apr 29, 2010 @ 04:33:03

    A reply for tw tan.

    Despite being “wise” you still don’t get it do you? It is not about Najib and his sincerity. It is about the broken system called BN or more precisely broken UMNO because of Mahathir!

    The concept of equitable power sharing and resource sharing cannot work anymore simply because the rest of the world will no longer allow us to hide in our little corner of the world!

    The system currently practiced by BN cannot work when we are facing global competition and our resources are dwindling. When resources are not enough to go round, the 3 raced based parties will scramble for limited resources for their communities on which they depend on for political significance.

    AND this is confrontational in nature and worst still, along racial lines!

    Najib may be sincere but he cannot buck the system that put him in power in the first place – the Mahathir engineered new UMNO to keep him in power for 22 years and the country be damned.

    It is like dropping ink into milk. Despite Najib pouring in more milk to dilute Mahathir’s ink, the entire bucket of milk is spoilt and should be thrown away except that many accustomed to drinking milk are reluctant from facing life without milk!

    Simply put, as long a system that no longer works is allowed to exist, people like you and me and Dr Hsu and other followers of his blog cannot step forward to do the necessary and put this country on the right track again, competing in a shrinking world, and fighting for diminishing resources!

    Rationality is being forsaken for political expediency right now. I’m surprised you don’t see that!

    Like

  12. klm
    Apr 29, 2010 @ 10:48:07

    The more UMNO play to its own audience, the more will Gerakan and MCA be alienated from their bases.
    I think this is writing on the wall for Gerakan. I hope Gerakan members see that. I hope they do not waste more time.

    It is time to chuck that KPI fella out.

    Like

  13. A true Malaysian
    Apr 29, 2010 @ 12:47:26

    Sure we can give Najib another chance, but not now, not 13th GE, maybe 14th GE, that is if Umno can change by then. I doubt Umno can change.

    At the meantime, just stick our choice on Pakatan Rakyat. We have made up our mind.

    Not all Umno Malays are ultra like the fat fella. If Pakatan Rakyat can convince them that all Malaysian regardless of race and religion can prosper together and make Malaysia a wonderful place on Earth, then Pakatan Rakyat is sure to reach Putrajaya by 13th GE.

    Umno Malays should realise that what is the use of having a section of Malaysia to prosper in the expense of other sections, as this is not in the true spirit of Islamic teachings or rather all other religions as well.

    If we can proper together, why let other dies?

    Like

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